How do I decide the right price to buy a house?
Website design By BotEap.comYou’ve heard the adage: profit is made when you buy the property.
Website design By BotEap.comSimple, but powerful. Unfortunately, investors often forget that lesson and end up paying too much for properties.
Website design By BotEap.comIf I’m going to rehab a property and commit funds to that project, it’s critical that I know the right price to pay (and then buy below that number).
Website design By BotEap.comThe formula I use and have been using since day 1 is:
Website design By BotEap.comARV – Rehabilitation – BSH – Benefit = MPO
Website design By BotEap.comARV = Value after repair
Website design By BotEap.comBSH = Costs of buying, selling and holding
Website design By BotEap.comMPO = (Maximum Profitable Offer)
Website design By BotEap.comDetermining the ARV is more of an art than a science. Of course, I start by looking at sold comps and focus on the properties that are closest to my subject property and most similar in bedroom/bath configuration; square feet; age; location and overall layout. Although appraisers can go up to a mile away and up to a year in sales, I prefer homes that are less than a quarter mile away and have sold in the last 6 months.
Website design By BotEap.comThe next step for me is to search the online listings for the compositions sold. You will often find a large number of pictures of those houses to determine what they looked like on the inside. I’m specifically looking to see if the other homes used granite or some other solid surface versus laminate counter in the kitchen; Are there updated appliances? Did they use carpet, laminate flooring, or hardwood? Did you use fabricated tub/shower liners or tile? The bathroom floors are stoneware or laminate. I also check the exterior to see if the comps have garages, carports, or just driveways; they are brick, clapboard or vinyl.
Website design By BotEap.comAt this point, I now have a pretty good idea of the level of rehab needed to hit the same price points as comparable properties. I then review my subject property for anything that might make my home less favorable to buyers than comps. Some examples may be that the house is near the train tracks or a noisy street; it is located on a busy street; is adjacent to something less favorable than a neighboring house (cemetery, parking lot, retail store). If any of these you may have to greatly reduce the ARV.
Website design By BotEap.comHow much to adjust the ARV is largely a judgment call. I try to think like a potential buyer who is looking at two very similar houses. One is sitting in a quiet lot with neighbors on either side. The other house is located on a busy street. How much of a discount would it take to incentivize shoppers to shop on the busy street? Certainly more of a $5-10,000 discount. I might also consider if there are additional services that I can offer in my home that are not available in the gifts. This will also help tip the scales, but it will also cost additional rehab dollars.
Website design By BotEap.comOne last test I do before blocking an ARV is to review the currently listed properties. By the way, I’m not a real estate agent and I don’t have access to MLS. I do all of this research online using the same tools that you have access to. Listed properties tell me two things: (1) that prices are holding up and sellers are not lowering their price; (2) what the houses I will compete with directly look like.
Website design By BotEap.comDetermining the amount of rehab is based on what is needed to renovate the subject property to resemble the comps. Be careful here. Remodeling to a much higher level than comps may not generate much in the additional price, but it does increase rehab costs greatly. On the other hand, not improving enough can make the home less favorable to buyers than competing homes.
Website design By BotEap.comBSH can easily be calculated as a percentage of the ARV. I’ve seen him run anywhere from 12% to 20% ARV. Most come in around 15%-18%. The big drivers are whether or not to use an agent and the cost of money. It’s a good idea to do a closer look at your actual BSH costs until you see where your percentage typically falls. Here is a list of the most common expenses that make up this category.
- Website design By BotEap.comClosing Cost – Buy
- Website design By BotEap.comLoan origination fees (points)
- Website design By BotEap.comLoan interest
- Website design By BotEap.comrisk insurance
- Website design By BotEap.comproperty taxes
- Website design By BotEap.comutilities
- Website design By BotEap.commarketing costs
- Website design By BotEap.comhome warranty
- Website design By BotEap.comClosing Costs – Sale (Paid on Buyer’s Behalf)
- Website design By BotEap.comReal estate agent commission